Orb Faithful, With the NBA and NHL seasons ending, it is time to turn our focus back to the NFL and start gearing up for the season. Most of my updates this offseason have included announcing new members of the Orb team and this post is no different. We are thrilled to share that we have a college intern joining the Orb for the summer! He is a fellow data nerd in training who is studying analytics and is also a huge NFL fan. A lot of his work this summer will be helping me behind the scenes, getting real-world experience with data automation and modeling in the world of sports. However, I wanted to start him out with a project that is more interesting and creative. We haven’t gotten into the fantasy football side of the NFL much at the Orb yet, but just like sportsbooks, it is a whole world of data to mine into. For his first project, I wanted to have him tap into fantasy football data so we could compare it against what the sportsbooks have. Nowadays you can gamble on anything when it comes to player stats for the upcoming season. Vegas has lines on every stat that equates to scoring in fantasy football. So our intern calculated how each player would score in fantasy football if they hit the totals set by the sportsbooks. Meaning if Vegas set a wide receiver’s season totals to over/under 90 receptions, 850 yards, and 5 touchdowns he calculated what this translated to in fantasy scoring. From here, he was able to compare this calculated projection to the already existing projection on the fantasy websites. For this analysis, I gave him the assumption that sportsbooks have more accurate lines than fantasy websites and therefore we can look for what players are ‘overrated’ and ‘underrated’ on fantasy draft websites. We of course won’t know which projections are more accurate until the end of the season, but with the assumptions I gave him, let’s take a look at what players might be worth targeting or avoiding in your upcoming fantasy draft according to Las Vegas.
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Happy to see the Orb Team continue to grow- welcome! Super excited to start gearing up for the NFL season and start crushing the bookies 😝
We’re getting closer to the best time of the year! 🏈🔮