Week 14 Results and Week 15 Picks
With multi-foot snow storm in the west and temperatures dropping around the holidays, the Orb is heating up just in time. We are always tweaking and updating our algorithms to adjust for each weekend’s new data. Like we mentioned last week, this now includes new derived predictors that are showing real results in their early two-week sample size. On top of consecutive +unit weeks, we are very happy to announce that week 14’s parlay of the week (49ers -3.5, Lions/Vikings over 52.5 and Bengals moneyline) hit at +429 odds.
Before we dive into all the results and predictions, I want to quickly emphasize something my co-founder wrote in his blog here. Our goal at the Orb is to create both an accurate prediction model as well as entertaining content. Andy works just as hard on the content side as I do on the analytics and we are always looking for feedback and areas to grow. We would love to be able to share our work with as many NFL fans as possible and create a community here. Asking for help is never easy or fun but in the season of giving, we are humbly asking. I am copying from Andy here but any of the small actions below really go a long way for us and would be incredibly appreciated:
Sharing the blog with a friend
Leaving a comment
Liking the blog post
Reposting our content on your social media pages
Joining the email newsletter
With that being said, just because we aim to grow does not mean we appreciate those of you that are here now any less. Hopefully we can continue to show are gratitude for you through accurate predictions, and thats just what we did (again) in week 14. Two out of three of our categories finished +units and they were +units overall across every pick. Let’s break down the numbers:
Totals:
Medium value picks: 1/2, 50%, -0.091 units
All picks: 7/11, 63.63%, +2.363 units
Moneyline:
High value picks: 4/5, 80%, -0.138 units
High&Medium value picks: 5/6, 83.33%, +0.405 units
All picks: 8/11, 72.72%, +1.196 units
Spreads:
Medium value picks: 3/5, 60%, +0.727 units
All picks: 5/11, 45.45%, -1.455 units
All week 14 picks combined: 20/33, 60.6%, +2.104 units.
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Our games of the week for week 14 went 5/9, 55.56%
Here are our games of the week for week 15:
And of course here are all the picks for week 15:
*Due to injuries to starting quarterback we are not predicting the following games:
Ravens-Browns
Cardinals-Broncos
Have a great weekend everyone!
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The picks and predictions provided on this website are based on our own research and analysis and are intended to be used for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, and we are not responsible for any losses or damages incurred as a result of using this information for gambling or other purposes.
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