The 2025 WM Phoenix Open Betting Guide: The People's Open

Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Ah, the WM Phoenix Open—the rowdiest, booziest, most degenerate-friendly stop on the PGA Tour calendar. TPC Scottsdale transforms into a frat party, the 16th hole becomes a Roman Coliseum, and somewhere, a Scottsdale bro wearing a flat-brim hat is betting his rent money on Rickie Fowler finishing top 10. This tournament is pure chaos, and we absolutely love it.

So let’s break it down—who’s playing, who’s worth betting on, and where you should be putting your hard-earned (or irresponsibly borrowed) cash.

---

Course Breakdown: TPC Scottsdale, aka "The Coliseum"

Par: 71 | Yardage: 7,200+ | Signature Hole: 16

This course rewards aggressive play and gives bombers a serious edge. The greens are typically firm and fast, and with the desert air making drives fly forever, expect some stupidly low scores. If your guy is afraid of the crowd or allergic to making birdies, don’t bet him—this place eats soft players alive.

Key Holes to Watch:

• Hole 16 (The Zoo): The most electric hole in golf. If you stick one tight, you’re a god. If you miss the green, you’re getting booed into the Shadow Realm.

• Hole 17 (Risk vs. Reward): A drivable par 4 that will 100% decide the tournament. Eagles, water balls, and chaos. Bet your ass something wild happens here Sunday.

---

The Field: Who’s Coming to Party (And Win)?

We’ve got some of the biggest names in the game rolling into Scottsdale this year:

🐐 Scottie Scheffler (+400)

The back-to-back champ. The human ATM machine of the PGA Tour. Scottie absolutely owns TPC Scottsdale, hasn’t finished worse than T7 in the last three years, and is fresh off a six-win 2024 season. The only downside? His odds are short. But if you like free money, he’s your guy.

🎩 Rickie Fowler (+2000)

Rickie is the King of Scottsdale and a fan-favorite at this event. He won here in 2019, and while his game has been a rollercoaster since, he’s back to playing solid golf. Top-10 finish? Absolutely. Win? Maybe if the stars align.

💪 Max Homa (+1600)

Homa plays well when the crowds are rowdy, and there’s no rowdier spot than this. He’s got the talent and a few Tour wins under his belt—he just needs to avoid a disaster round. If you’re looking for a guy with solid upside and juice at +1600, Homa’s a sneaky good bet.

🔥 Sam Burns (+1600)

He’s got one of the best putting strokes on Tour, which always plays well here. Burns isn’t the flashiest pick, but he’s a dude who can win when he gets hot.

🤑 Justin Thomas (+1000)

JT’s been a little lost the past couple years, but he loves this course. A multiple-time top-five finisher at the WM Open, and due for a bounce-back season. If you like JT, now’s the time to buy before he starts playing like old JT again.

😈 Jordan Spieth (+1600)

Spieth at TPC Scottsdale is a rollercoaster you can’t get off. He’ll hit a drive into a cactus on one hole, then drain a 60-footer for birdie on the next. If you’re into chaos betting, Spieth is your guy.

---

Betting Odds & Best Bets

Here’s what the current odds look like (via BetMGM):

• Scottie Scheffler

  • Odds to Win: +400

  • Best Bet: Auto-bet until proven otherwise

• Justin Thomas

  • Odds to Win: +1000

  • Best Bet: Top-5 finish (+200)

• Jordan Spieth

  • Odds to Win: +1600

  • Best Bet: Live bet only (he’ll go +5000 mid-round and still win)

• Max Homa

  • Odds to Win: +1600

  • Best Bet: Top-10 finish (+200)

• Sam Burns

  • Odds to Win: +1600

  • Best Bet: First-round leader (+2800)

• Ludvig Aberg

  • Odds to Win: +2000

  • Best Bet: Sleeper pick

• Robert MacIntyre

  • Odds to Win: +5500

  • Best Bet: Dark horse special

---

🔥 Best Bets: Where to Put Your Money

1. Scottie Scheffler to Win (+400)

   • The safest bet on the board. TPC Scottsdale is basically his backyard, and he prints money here.

2. Max Homa Top 10 (+200)

   • He’s playing too well not to finish high. At plus money, this is a lock.

3. Sam Burns First-Round Leader (+2800)

   • Burns comes out firing, and TPC Scottsdale sets up perfectly for his game. Huge value here.

4. Ludvig Aberg to Win (+2000)

   • Young gun with crazy potential. He’s gonna win soon—why not here?

5. Robert MacIntyre Top 20 (+250)

   • Dude has a ridiculous short game and thrives in birdie-fests. At +250, love this bet.

---

Final Thoughts

The WM Phoenix Open is absolute must-watch golf. The energy is unmatched, the beers will be flowing, and someone is 100% gonna make an idiot of themselves on 16.

As for betting?

• Scheffler is the chalk, and it’s hard to argue against it.

• Fowler is a fun bet if you like a feel-good story.

• JT is worth a top-5 sprinkle, and Homa is a solid top-10 lock.

• If you want a deep value guy, Ludvig Aberg or Robert MacIntyre is worth a look.

So, fire up the bets, grab some cold ones, and enjoy the best party in golf.

.

.

.

.

.

.

DISCLAIMER:

The information provided on this website is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be gambling or financial advice, and should not be relied upon as such. We are not responsible for any actions or decisions taken by readers based on the information provided on this website.

The picks and predictions provided on this website are based on our own research and analysis, and are intended to be used for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, and we are not responsible for any losses or damages incurred as a result of using this information for gambling or other purposes.

By accessing and using this website, you acknowledge and agree to the terms of this disclaimer, and you assume all risks and liabilities associated with your use of the information provided on this website.