NBA Model Beta Test Results + Picks: 5.27.25
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Image via Forbes.com
Our model stuck to its guns, giving out the same pick on the same matchup with the exact same line. Unfortunately for us, the second time wasn’t any different, as the Timberwolves were still not able to keep it close in Game 2. Since then, they of course, covered both of the next two games in Minnesota despite now finding themselves down 3-1 in the series. So, another loss for the model picking against OKC, something that it curiously likes to do, considering how dominant they have been against the spread this season.
This loss brings our playoff record down to 9-7 against the spread, good for an accuracy of 56.3% heading into tonight. The good news for us is that we can’t get three picks in a row wrong on the same series, as we will have the Knicks-Pacers games tonight and Thursday instead. Indiana is finally getting respect from the market, as they are now slight favorites heading into this one after they really could be up 3-0, but instead find themselves up 2-1 in the series.
Timberwolves +7.5 (-107) ❌
Live Beta Test Overall Record ATS: 34-31, 52.3%, +0.3 units
Playoff Record: 9-7, 56.3%, +1.4 units
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Our model expects this series to continue to be close:
Knicks +2.5 (-104)
Fading the Orb and picking the Pacers to cover over on Novig would come with some great +money odds as well. We are getting spoiled with the efficiency of these playoff spread markets. The price on either side of the line has been right around even, making last Thursday’s pick with a -107 price feel like we were laying too much juice despite it still being cheaper than the -110 price on big sportsbook.
As always, good luck to our readers from the New York and Indiana areas, as well as anyone making plays on tonight’s game!
- Team Orb Analytics
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