🏀🔥✅ NBA Model Beta Test Results + Picks: 3.13.25
Image Credit: Ed Szczepanski-Imagn Images
Tuesday’s model picks were linked in the 15th episode of the Dishing and Swishing podcast that was emailed out. If you missed them, you can find the post also linked here.
Hopefully, you saw it as the models had a clean 2-0 sweep and hit their 5th winning performance in a row! This brings our live beta test record to 14-7 ATS, so 2 wins for every miss so far. Over the 5-day winning streak, the models are 13-3, good for an accuracy of 81.3% since starting out 1-4 on day one.
Here is how both picks from Tuesday performed:
Pistons -15.0 ✅
Pacers +2.0 ✅
Live Beta Test Overall Record ATS: 14-7, 66.7%, +5.7 units
Quick check-in on how testing is going so far - quite well! We are now 3 weeks and 21 picks into our public beta test, and the models have created a great problem for us. Part of our transparency on this page is defining what is and is not realistic regarding performance. While we are thrilled the models are sitting at 66.7% against the spread, this is against a small sample size and is statistically ‘too good’ to expect to continue at the same rate as it makes more predictions on 50/50 tickets. That's not to say it doesn’t have a chance to finish the regular season profitable, but there is a significant difference between profitable and hitting 2/3 picks over a larger sample.
But that is not to be a downer! We are having as much fun as the readers who have benefited from this performance and want to see if we can once again extend the winning streak even further tonight. Here is what the models predict will happen:
Bucks -7.0
Pelicans +3.0
Kings +7.0
- Team Orb Analytics
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