NBA Model Beta Test Results + Picks: 2.27.25
Our models responded to a 1-4 start with an inverse 4-1 performance on Tuesday! Two days and ten total picks into our public live testing, they have taken just about the most dramatic route possible to get to the least dramatic and most statistically expected 50% hit rate. So early on, we’ve seen what the models are capable of on their best and worst days.
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These NBA lines have been extremely sharp, with many games coming right down to the market number. On Tuesday, we were one additional basket from the Lakers away from a perfect 5-0 sweep, but on the flipside, the Raptors and Bucks both covered by a combined 2 total points. So ✅’s look great and ❌’s look bad on the records, but the margin between the two in the NBA can be even thinner than it is for our NFL models.
Here is how each pick performed on Tuesday:
Spreads:
Toronto +11.0 ✅
Clevland -7.5 ✅
Milwaukee +3.5 ✅
Phoenix +7.5 ✅
Lakers -9.0 ❌
Here is what our models predict will happen tonight, Thursday the 27th:
Spreads:
Warriors -5.0
Hornets +9.5
Lakers -6.5
- Team Orb Analytics
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